Live dismissals.

We checked 33,154 matches and 7,755 red cards. The team that loses a player scores about half as often as usual afterwards, and the team with eleven scores about 1.6 times as often. Three in four goals after a red card go to the eleven. The effect is biggest in the first ten minutes and smaller for late cards. It is an average, not a prediction, and teams that get sent off were often struggling already.